Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Hillary Supporters

Hillary supporters are getting FAR too much coverage during this convention. They really are. Lets put them under the main categories that they really fall into and in no particular order (their issues): Experience, conservative women who voted for Hillary simply because she was the first female presidential candidate, and race.

The fourth category which may prove to be the most damaging as far as the voters that want a Democrat and don't like Republicans is the media coverage that lied to her supporters by portraying the Democratic primary as a close race where either candiate could win. The race was over and impossible for Sen. Clinton after Super Tuesday (the real one) back in Febuarary. No one, who knows how elections work, could've possibly believed that super delegates were going to go against the candidate who got the most "regular" delegates and risk HUGE issues all over this country.

This isn't about whether the coverage itself was more bias towards Sen. Obama or not. It is about the portrayol of how close the race was when it wasn't.

If you look at those four premises, in hindsight, Senator Joe Biden was the only choice Mr. Obama had. He can't change the fact he's male and a Democrat, he can't change that he's half-black (he's no Michael Jackson...), and he can't change how the media portrayed the primary race as far as how close it was in delegtes (and supposed bias). The only voting issue he could help quell is the idea that he doesn't have enough experience and he wouldn't know how to get things done in the White House. This isn't about whether or not that is true or not, but the polls show experience is an issue holding Mr. Obama back.

We could debate all day whether a VP pick helps or not, specifically when one is picked not based on helping or "guaranteeing" a state (Biden vs. Kaine/Bayh), but in the end some voters did take JFK more seriously because of LBJ and some voters did take President Bush more seriously because of Vice Preisdent Dick Cheney.

Their are a fair amount of undecided's that are waiting to see the VP picks before making their decision. That's despite the fact no matter who the VP's are the policies are almost as opposite as you can get. It isn't likely Mr. Biden is a net negative (as long as Obama's campaign fires back on the attack ads already out) but he could prove to be a net positive in the VP debates. When you look at who is on Mr. McCain's short list, not many if any look like they could handle Mr. Biden in a debate. The x-factor is whether Sen. Biden puts his foot in his mouth.

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